As folks say about “luck,” If it was not for my poor performance predicting election outcomes, I would have no performance history at all. If I were paid to make predictions I would have long ago gone the way of Dick Morris. I thought McCain/Palin would win then I thought Romney /Ryan would win (I voted for him but in no case would again). I do not understand the brick wall the democrats have placed between them and Donald Trump. Talk about a “small tent.” There is no room in the democratic party for dissension; I mean “no room.” Any democrat who violates the the leftist tenets is a racist and right-wing extremist. A special dose of hate is saved for “Uncle Toms”: Clarence Thomas, Ben Carson, Herman Cain, who are blacks just not the “right kind.” We find the president working feverishly within his party to “make deals,” so we know he knows how to do that even with wide-ranging views within the party but there is no negotiating with the democrats who are shameful non-participants in deal making. He attempts to deal with the democrats and they avoid scheduled meetings. Individuals who call for “cross-aisle” negotiations know, but ignore that the democrats will negotiate nothing. This is simple masochism.
There are five states which went for Trump, with heavy margins, who have seated democrat senators (MS, IN, AZ, ND, MT,) and there are five others (PA, WI, MI, OH, FL) with very small margins for Trump, who also have seated democratic senators. There are several important variables aside from the numbers. We have Moore who lost in AL because he was a terrible candidate. We have Flake, a RiNo in AZ who probably will not survive the Republican primary and his successor, if a Republican will be a better ally for Trump. This date, it appears that the Republican tax overhaul will be passed. Once past the democrats’ assurances that old people are going to die eating dog food, only the rich will get richer, etc., the chances that the tax overhaul will produce new jobs and much happier taxpayers in time for the November 2018 election are quite strong. In time for the 2018 elections this may be the only significant Trump legislative victory but a huge one it is. People like holding on to their money.
Why on earth would the democrats in the states Trump won handily continue to stonewall Trump? The democrat party is the party of the left and we know the left can be perfectly vile and uncivil but most of the democrat senators in jeopardy are moderates. If I were a Heidi Heitkamp (ND) or a Claire McCaskill (MO) I would be paying attention to the issues and not to party dogma. That they are a part of the party of “impeach Trump” will certainly serve to bolster Trump’s thin majority in the senate in November, 2018.
At least I hope so.
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